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Rob Urban

Investor and Award Winning Entrepreneur

Investment Strategy

Benjamin Graham pioneered the concept that all businesses have intrinsic value. The simple fact that stock prices fluctuate wildly while company revenues, asset values and cash flows remain stable over time proves the point that the market price of a company is separate from intrinsic value. One is driven by short term emotions, the other is driven by the long term realities of the business. My belief is that most businesses' future range of outcomes are so vast that any bet is a gamble, not an investment. For this reason, I put my research focus on businesses with a narrow range of future outcomes while using market volatility to get good entry/exit points. I vastly prefer companies with growing intrinsic value because even if I am wrong on the timing of the purchase, as time progresses intrinsic value will grow thus minimizing the risk of permanent loss of capital.

Investment process:
1. Maintain a list of predictable (narrow range of outcomes) companies with competitive advantages
2. Determine company valuation to a rational buyer as if we're buying 100% of the business
3. Patiently wait for a margin of safety before investing capital
4. Position sizing based on the risk of the business as well as expected returns

Valuation is determined using a method I developed to value nearly any public or private business relative to current interest rates without the need to forecast decades into the future. This avoids the pitfalls associated with discounted cash flow models where one must forecast cash flows in perpetuity, as well as their disregard to the current liquidation value (safety net) of a business. It is also unwise and very risky to use discounted cash flow models for valuing businesses without long term competitive advantages where a large portion of the valuation is based on cash flows 10 or more years into the future. This is more of a gamble than an investment.   

"When Andrew Carnegie was in the steel business, he was in the steel business. But you, as an investor can rearrange your business empire on a moment's notice at practically no cost. That's a huge advantage, which people turn into a disadvantage"‚Äč ~ Warren Buffett


Funds
(URB) Urban
MODEL INCEPTION (01/10/2013) AVG. ANNUAL RETURN S&P TOTAL RETURN Actions
5+ YRS 8.37% 13.90% View Fund Stats Track Fund
RETURN PERIOD (As Of: 03/31/2018) AVG. ANNUAL RETURN S&P TOTAL RETURN ACHIEVEMENTS
5 YRS 6.31% 16.37% Fund has a 5 year track record.  
3 YRS -0.76% 11.16% Fund has a 3 year track record.  
1 YR -6.86% 15.43% Fund has a 1 year track record.  
Show Fund Strategy
Click Here to View More Information About This Fund.
Achievements
URB | Price History
URB | Fund Information

The information below pertains to model data only.

Fund Manager: Total Model Net Assets:
Rob Urban $1,528,628.31
Inception: Ticker Symbol: # of Securities:
January 10, 2013 URB 12
Description:

New Fund

URB | Turnover
Last Month N/A
Last 3 Months 0.17%
Last 6 Months 20.44%
Last 12 Months 28.28%
URB | Skill Metrics
All Positions
Winning % 72.50%
Avg. Gain/Loss Ratio 1.16
URB | Recent Returns vs Major Indexes
Beating Today MTD QTD YTD
URB -0.00% 0.94% 0.94% -7.06%
S&P 500 -0.85% 1.11% 1.11% 0.00%
NASDAQ -1.27% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
URB | Recent Returns
Period Returns S&P 500 Returns Returns VS S&P 500
Last 7 Days -0.24% 0.00% -0.24%
Last 30 Days -0.83% 0.58% -1.41%
Last 3 Months -13.03% -5.03% -8.00%
Last 6 Months -1.51% 4.54% -6.05%
Last 12 Months -4.64% 15.32% -19.96%
Last 2 Years 1.46% 32.28% -30.82%
Last 3 Years -3.15% 34.15% -37.30%
Last 5 Years 39.75% 88.63% -48.88%
Since Inception 52.86% 101.33% -48.47%
(Annualized) 8.37% 14.17% -5.80%
Data as of: 04/21/2018
URB | Fund Positions by Sectors and Industries
Color Name Allocation Today
Consumer Discretionary 37.47% -2.22%
Technology 25.68% -1.67%
Health Care 17.31% -0.58%
Financials 14.29% -0.34%
Energy 5.24% 2.70%
URB | Fund Positions by Styles
Color Name Allocation Today
Large Cap : Growth 34.82% -1.28%
Unclassified Market Cap : Unclassified Style 18.44% -2.47%
Large Cap : Blend 15.24% -1.33%
Large Cap : Value 13.93% -0.13%
Small Cap : Growth 12.32% -1.70%
Small Cap : Value 5.24% 2.70%
URB | Alpha/Beta VS. S&P 500
Alpha 0%
Beta 0
R-Squared 0
URB | 5 Best and Worst Returns
5 BEST 5 WORST
Position Symbol Inception Return
1 DLTR 120.69%
2 WBA 73.30%
3 AFL 27.06%
4 JD 22.72%
5 GEOS 21.91%
Position Symbol Inception Return
1 SRCL -31.60%
2 REV -20.91%
3 QCOM -15.71%
4 PYPL 5.34%
5 GLD 5.99%
URB | 5 Most and Least Profitable
5 MOST PROFITABLE 5 LEAST PROFITABLE
Position Symbol Gains
1 DLTR $115,379.22
2 T $108,311.76
3 AAPL $71,481.87
4 WBA $70,855.94
5 EBIX $65,675.03
Position Symbol Gains
1 DTV -$78,576.94
2 QCOM -$49,537.76
3 REV -$43,115.81
4 FOSL -$30,913.67
5 SRCL -$24,732.79